The Globe and Mail reports in its Wednesday edition that United States orders for durable goods
surged
in July. The Globe's Kevin Carmichael writes that earlier this year the Bank of Canada released a discussion
paper called "Canadian
Non-Energy Exports: Past Performance
and Future Prospects."
Five of the industries BOC researchers say will lead
the recovery -- aerospace, industrial
machinery, electrical
machinery, communications
equipment and computers --
were benchmarked against United States
business investment. Some market participants
assume BOC policy is geared to putting downward
pressure on the exchange
rate. The Globe says, however, BOC Governor Stephen Poloz's approach to
the currency is more
nuanced than that. Inflation is
affected by growth and growth is
affected by exports. Some exports
are influenced by the exchange
rate and others are not. As it happens,
the ones sensitive
to the exchange rate also are the
ones the BOC is counting
on to lead the economy. "You
can't ignore that" the dollar is
higher, says Mr. Poloz.
The bottom line, according to The Globe, is that it is time
to stop accusing the BOC
of operating a stealth campaign
to weaken the dollar.
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