The Globe and Mail reports in its Thursday, April 16, edition that Bank of Canada Governor Stephen
Poloz says there is a brighter
future ahead if people can
look beyond an economy that is
teetering on the brink of outright
contraction.
The Globe's Barrie McKenna writes that the BOC kept its key
overnight lending rate
unchanged Wednesday at 0.75
per cent. The BOC released a
new forecast showing Canada's
oil-dependent economy stalled
and likely did not grow at all in
the first three months of the
year.
The no-growth forecast is a
sharp downgrade from the 1.5-per-cent annual growth rate the
bank predicted just three
months ago, when Mr. Poloz rattled
financial markets with a surprise
quarter-percentage-point
rate cut.
Mr. Poloz insisted the economy
would snap back. Mr. Poloz got the first
quarter wrong and now he is overoptimistic
about what the rest
of the year will bring, says Leith Wheeler analyst Ben
Homsy.
He says: "The impact from low oil prices
on the Canadian economy is not
a one-quarter event. ... We'll see that reverberate
through the second and third
quarters."
Scotiabank economist
Derek Holt says the
BOC's forecasts may
be "on the aggressive side."
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