The Globe and Mail attempts to identify Canadian
stocks that have lost the
favour of the herd in its Tuesday edition. The Globe's Tim Shufelt writes in the Number Cruncher column that there is research supporting
the argument that investing
in what analysts dislike can
generate superior returns.
The idea that the consensus is
wrong informs contrarian investing,
explains Mr. Shufelt. He first filtered for stocks listed
in Toronto
with a low average analyst rating.
Mr. Shufelt avoided stocks overly influenced
by too few analyst opinions. Mr. Shufelt also
excluded the smallest stocks on
the exchange, so market capitalization
had to be at least $250-million.
He also excluded the energy
sector, which is beset by an overriding
macro depressant (the
plunge in oil prices), but is still
looking expensive as a sector. So
he avoided oil and gas entirely
for this column.
Finally, to help identify reasonably
priced stocks, he capped the
price-to-earnings ratio at 19
times, which is about the valuation
on the S&P/TSX composite
index.
His ill-favoured stocks are AGF Management, Rogers Sugar, Laurentian Bank of Canada, Canaccord Genuity Group and Shaw Communications.
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