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National House Prices Nearly Unchanged in 2025, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

2026-01-20 09:00 ET - News Release

—Annual price growth dips to the slowest pace since 2012, with metro gains concentrated where supply remains tight, says Chief Economist Mark Fleming—


Company Website: https://www.firstam.com/
SANTA ANA, Calif. -- (Business Wire)

First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its December 2025 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here.

December1National House Price Index

First American Data & Analytics’ National Non-Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) HPI

Metric

Change in HPI

November 2025-December 2025 (month over month)

-0.2 percent

December 2024-December 2025 (year over year)

+0.5 percent

Highlights

  • Annual house price appreciation remained below 1 percent for the fifth consecutive month in December.
  • House price growth reported in last month’s HPI for October 2025 to November 2025 was unchanged at -0.2 percent.

“From a national house price perspective, it’s almost like 2025 didn’t happen – prices finished the year nearly unchanged,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “With annual price growth at 0.5 percent in December—the slowest since 2012—the housing market nationally has found a more balanced state, allowing affordability a chance to gradually improve as household income growth outpaces price appreciation.”

December 2025 Local Market Price Tier Highlights

The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.

“As we close out the year, the market’s fault line is inventory,” said Fleming. “Across the top 30 markets we track, prices are flat or declining in 20 markets, and among the 10 markets still posting year-over-year gains, eight are in the Northeast or Midwest—areas where supply has generally remained tighter. Where inventory has grown, particularly in several pandemic-era boom towns like Austin, Texas and Phoenix, prices are adjusting lower as the market normalizes.”

December 2025 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Stater Tier HPI

CBSA

Change in Starter Tier HPI

Change in Mid-Tier HPI

Change in Luxury Tier HPI

Warren, Mich.

+6.9 percent

+3.3 percent

+4.5 percent

St. Louis

+5.0 percent

+2.5 percent

+0.8 percent

Baltimore

+4.7 percent

+4.4 percent

+3.4 percent

Anaheim, Calif.

+3.8 percent

+0.0 percent

+1.9 percent

Charlotte, N.C.

+1.8 percent

+1.0 percent

+1.2 percent

Additional December 2025 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI

CBSA

Change in HPI

Warren, Mich.

+4.2 percent

New York

+2.8 percent

Cambridge, Mass.

+2.5 percent

St. Louis

+2.3 percent

Baltimore

+2.3 percent

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decrease in HPI

Oakland, Calif.

-6.0 percent

Denver

-4.0 percent

Miami

-3.9 percent

Austin, Texas

-3.7 percent

Riverside, Calif.

-3.4 percent

HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.

Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics.

Next Release

The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of February 16, 2026.

First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology

The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.

The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.

Disclaimer

Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2026 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.

About First American Data & Analytics

First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8.6 billion document images. Its major platforms and products include: DataTree®, FraudGuard®, RegsData®, First American TaxSource™ and ACI®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services industries with advanced decisioning solutions at www.FirstAmDNA.com.

About First American

First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the digital transformation of its industry. First American also provides data products to the title industry and other third parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing; home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management services; and other related products and services. With total revenue of $6.1 billion in 2024, the company offers its products and services directly and through its agents throughout the United States and abroad. In 2025, First American was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work® and Fortune Magazine for the tenth consecutive year. More information about the company can be found at www.firstam.com.

1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.

Contacts:

Media Contact:
Marcus Ginnaty
Corporate Communications
First American Financial Corporation
(714) 250-3298

Investor Contact:
Craig Barberio
Investor Relations
First American Financial Corporation
(714) 250-5214

Source: First American Data & Analytics

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