The Globe and Mail attempts to identify companies paying sustainable dividends in its Thursday edition. The Globe's Ian Tam writes in the Number Cruncher column that one of the pitfalls of dividend
investing is that yield
alone can be a deceiving metric.
A company with sustainable
yields over the long term will
need to support dividends with
sufficient cash flow and earnings.
The payout ratio is a key
measure that looks at the percentage
of a company's earnings
or cash flows being paid to dividends.
Companies with high payout
ratios (100 per cent or more) are
unlikely to sustain dividends
in the long term. Mr. Tam looked at the current dividend yield, expected dividend growth
(expected annual dividend versus
dividends paid over the past four
quarters), five-year dividend growth rate, quarterly earnings momentum
(latest four quarters earnings versus
the same number a quarter
ago) and the nine-month price change.
Qualifying stocks had a market
cap of $1.5-billion, a payout ratio
on both earnings and cash flow of
less than 80 per cent, and a positive
five-year cash-flow growth
rate. Mr. Tam's Canadian dividend payers are Cogeco Cable, Genworth MI Canada, National Bank of Canada and BCE.
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