The Globe and Mail attempts to identify stocks that are in a "pre-uptrend"
coupled with a growing return
on equity (ROE) in its Wednesday edition. The Globe's Michael Bowman writes in the Number Cruncher column that a pre-uptrend
is a term used to define stocks poised to potentially
move higher.
Mr. Bowman only considered firms with a market cap greater than $500-million. He also looked at moving averages,
which are technical indicators
that smooth prices
to form a trend-following pattern.
Moving averages do not predict price
direction, but rather define the
current direction with a lag.
Stock prices are in a pre-uptrend
when the share price is
greater than the 200-day moving
average, which in turn is greater
than the 20-day moving average.
What this indicates is that the
higher share price will eventually
pull the 20-day moving average
up so that it crosses the 200-day
moving average. That phenomenon
is called the "golden cross,"
which is a very bullish technical
pattern. All of Mr. Bowman's picks are in a pre-uptrend.
Stocks poised to rally are Toronto-Dominion Bank, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Coastal Energy, ShawCor and Black Diamond Group.
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