The Globe and Mail reports in its Saturday edition that beaten down shares of gold miners may look like a
buying opportunity.
The Globe's David Milstead warns bargain hunters, however, to tread carefully. He says certainly a
rebound in the price of gold
would cause miners' shares to
surge.
The opposite, however, is also
true. The rising cost of mining
gold and miners' increasing reliance
on debt, mean a gold price
that settles below $1,500 an
ounce would punish the sector's
outlook.
Analysts have run "stress tests"
to assess investors' risks if gold
falls to $1,300 or $1,200 per ounce.
Companies like Goldcorp
that combine healthy balance
sheets with relatively low costs
seem best able to weather such a
storm. Others with higher debt --
Barrick Gold and Newmont
Mining -- appear to have
more potential problems. Deutsche Bank's Jorge Beristain issued a report on
Monday in which he cut his price
targets on major North American
miners by an average of more
than 30 per cent. He reduced his
ratings on Barrick and Kinross
Gold to "hold" and on Newmont
to "sell." (Goldcorp remained
a "hold.")
Mr. Beristain figures the price of gold will average $1,600 per
ounce over the long term.
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