Mr. Jon Koffman reports
NEW FLYER ANNOUNCES 2013 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS
New Flyer Industries Inc. has released its results for the 13-week period ended Sept. 29, 2013. Full financial statements and management's discussion and
analysis are available at the company's website. Unless otherwise indicated, all monetary amounts in this press release
are expressed in U.S. dollars.
Summary:
- 2013 third-quarter consolidated revenue of $309.0-million increased by 48.2 per cent
compared with the 2012 third quarter primarily due to incremental revenue associated
with the acquisition of the NABI bus and parts businesses and the Orion
parts business;
- 2013 third-quarter consolidated adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) of $24.4-million increased by $10.3-million or 73.5 per cent compared with 2012 third quarter and net earnings of $7.8-million
increased by 420 per cent compared with $1.5-million in 2012 third quarter;
- 2013 third-quarter free cash flow was $13.1-million (Canadian) and declared dividends were
$8.1-million (Canadian) during 2013 third quarter. The current dividend rate is expected to
be maintained;
- Liquidity improved by $7.1-million during 2013 third quarter resulting in closing
liquidity of $90.5-million;
- Total bus order backlog at the end of 2013 third quarter was $4.6-billion,
representing an increase of $900-million during the quarter.
Book-to-bill ratio for the 12-month period ended Sept. 29, 2013,
was 309 per cent, which represents the third consecutive quarter where the
ratio exceeded 100 per cent.
OPERATING RESULTS
Q3 Q3 YTD YTD
Bus deliveries 2013 2012 2013 2012
Number of equivalent units delivered 577 386 1,556 1,269
Average selling price per EU
(U.S. dollars in thousands) $434.4 $464.6 $435.7 $451.5
The increased deliveries were as a result of including deliveries of
buses by NABI Bus LLC, the company's newly acquired business,
effective June 21, 2013. The average selling price has decreased as a
result of sales mix when comparing the two periods.
The company line-entered 592 EUs in 2013 third quarter, which, on a weekly basis,
is less than management's planned average weekly rate of 48 EUs. This
was due to the companywide planned summer vacation that decreased
production during the first week of 2013 third quarter.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
(in millions of U.S. dollars)
Q3 Q3 YTD YTD
2013 2012 2013 2012
Bus $250.6 $179.3 $678.0 $572.9
Aftermarket 58.3 29.1 147.0 90.1
------- ------- ------- -------
Total revenue 309.0 208.4 825.0 663.0
Earnings from operations 13.8 7.8 27.1 25.8
Non-cash recoveries (charges) 1.8 (0.9) (0.4) (8.1)
Interest expense (3.6) (3.9) (11.1) (11.8)
Income taxes expense (4.2) (1.5) (2.6) (0.5)
------- ------- ------- -------
Net earnings $ 7.8 $ 1.5 $ 13.0 $ 5.4
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The increase in 2013 third-quarter revenue primarily resulted from a 49.5-per-cent increase
in total bus deliveries compared with the 13-week period ended Sept. 30, 2012, deliveries offset by a sales mix with lower
average selling prices.
The increase in revenue from aftermarket operations is primarily a
result of increased volumes including incremental revenue from the
Orion parts business and the recently acquired parts business of NABI
Parts.
Revenue from bus manufacturing operations for the 39-week period ended
Sept. 29, 2013, also increased compared with the 39-week
period ended Sept. 30, 2012. The 2013 YTD increase is
due to increased deliveries compared with 2012 YTD.
Revenue from aftermarket operations for 2013 YTD increased compared with
2012 YTD primarily as a result of increased volumes resulting from
incremental revenue from the Orion parts business subsequent to the
March 1, 2013, acquisition date and the NABI parts business subsequent
to June 21, 2013.
Third-quarter 2013 and 2013 YTD bus manufacturing operations adjusted EBITDA
increased primarily due to the addition of the NABI bus operations.
Profit margins can vary significantly between orders due to factors
such as pricing, order size and product type. Adjusted EBITDA from bus
manufacturing operations per EU can be volatile on a quarterly basis
and therefore, management believes that a longer-term view should be
taken when comparing bus manufacturing operations margins.
Third-quarter 2013 and 2013 YTD aftermarket operations adjusted EBITDA increased
compared with their 2012 respective periods, primarily due to the
addition of the NABI parts and Orion parts businesses offset by margin
compression as a result of pricing pressure in the market. The
aftermarket operations adjusted EBITDA for 2013 third quarter and 2013 YTD was
normalized for non-recurring transitional costs of $400,000 and
$1.2-million, respectively.
The company reported net earnings of $7.8-million in 2013 third quarter, an
increase compared with net earnings of $1.5-million in 2012 third quarter, primarily
as a result of a $6.0-million increase in earnings from operations and
the $2.7-million increase of the non-cash recoveries caused by the
favourable impact of foreign currency translation resulting from the
weakening Canadian dollar, offset somewhat by increased income taxes.
YTD 2013 net earnings were $13.0-million increased compared with 2012 YTD
net earnings of $5.4-million, primarily due to significantly reduced
non-cash charges, as 2012 YTD non-cash charges included a $5.5-million
loss on exercise of the redemption right on the 14-per-cent subordinated notes
and a $1.4-million charge associated with fair value change in the
embedded derivative call option included in the subordinated notes.
Liquidity
The amount of dividends declared increased in 2013 third quarter as a result of
issuing 11.1 million common shares in 2013 YTD to strategic investor
Marcopolo SA. The amount of dividends declared in 2013 YTD is lower
than 2012 YTD as a result of reducing the annual dividend rate to
58.5 Canadian cents per common share, effective for all dividends declared after
Aug. 20, 2012. Management believes that sufficient free cash flow
will be generated to maintain this current annual dividend rate.
During 2013 third quarter, the company improved its liquidity position by $7.1-million by generating cash from operating activities of $16.4-million
which offset the $11.9-million of cash used for investing and financing
activities and a $2.6-million reduction of letters of credit
outstanding. The $7.5-million repayment of the company's revolving
credit facility during 2013 third quarter does not factor into the change in
liquidity position.
Bid universe, backlog and book-to-bill ratio
Management believes that the transit market continues to show positive
signs of recovery. A number of large bids were awarded in 2013 third quarter, as
New Flyer won new orders totalling 2,431 EUs. As well, the total New
Flyer bid universe remains high at 19,941 EUs, where the total number
of active EUs (request for proposals received and in process of review
at New Flyer, and bids or proposals submitted by New Flyer awaiting
customer action) at the end of 2013 third quarter was 8,117 EUs, compared with 5,876
EUs at Sept. 30, 2012.
The total New Flyer backlog at the end of 2013 third quarter was 9,890 EUs, an
increase of 15.9 per cent from the backlog at the end of the second quarter of
2013. The firm portion of the total backlog at the end of
2013 third quarter is made up of 2,748 EUs which has increased 22.0 per cent compared with
2,252 EUs at the end of 2013 second quarter. The total value of the order backlog
at the end of 2013 third quarter was $4.6-billion, compared with $3.7-billion at
the end of 2013 second quarter.
New Flyer's book-to-bill ratio (defined as new order intake -- both firm
and options -- divided by deliveries) for the last 12 months ending Sept. 29, 2013, was 309 per cent as compared with only 33 per cent for the LTM
ended Sept. 30, 2012. A ratio of above 100 per cent implies that more
orders were received than filled, indicating strong demand.
Outlook
The company has been very active over the last few years as it continues
to lead the heavy-duty transit bus industry in Canada and the United
States, and is executing on its the strategic plan by investing to
pursue long-term stability, diversification and growth.
As has been highlighted many times over the past few years, the number
of active heavy-duty transit bus procurements dropped noticeably since
the financial crisis that began in 2008. In order to replenish
decreasing backlogs in an environment of fewer procurements, prices for
new contracts declined dramatically. A significant portion of New
Flyer's order backlog comprises orders obtained during this time
period and management expects that on average, margins on orders
planned for 2014 production will be lower than the average margins
achieved during the period of excess capacity.
Management does not yet feel an increase to the average annual
production rate is sustainable. Management currently expects the
average line entry rate to be approximately 51 EUs per production week
during the 12 available production weeks in the fourth quarter of 2013,
even though the company does not plan to line enter new buses into
production during the winter holiday period occurring the last week of
this year. The result is an expected average of 36 EUs line entered
per production week at New Flyer for fiscal 2013, and an expected
average of 12 EUs line entered per production week at NABI since its
acquisition in June, 2013.
Management is very encouraged by its efforts to grow the aftermarket
parts business. The company has substantially completed the
integration of the Orion aftermarket parts business into the New Flyer
parts business and is actively engaged in a strategic review of the New
Flyer and NABI parts businesses.
Despite the pressure on margins, the company continues to pursue cost
and overhead savings in daily operations through its operational
excellence initiatives and as part of the long term NABI integration
and platform strategy development and management expects that the
company will remain in compliance with all credit facility covenants
and will be able to maintain dividends at current levels.
Conference call
A conference call for analysts and interested listeners will be held on
Thursday, Nov. 7, 2013, at 2 p.m. (ET). The call-in number for
listeners is 888-231-8191 or 647-427-7450. A live audio feed of the
call will also be available on-line.
A replay of the call will be available from 4 p.m. (ET) on Nov. 7,
2013, until 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Nov. 14, 2013. To access the replay,
call 416-849-0833 or 855-859-2056 and then enter pass code No. 72612422. The replay will also be available on New Flyer's website.
We seek Safe Harbor.
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