The Globe and Mail reports in its Saturday edition that Saudi Arabia has lost the oil war.
The Globe's Eric Reguly writes that the Saudis
underestimated the
strength and flexibility of the
U.S. shale-oil industry, but also
that of the financing machine
behind it. American capitalism
proved to be the superior fighting
force.
At last count, total
U.S. oil production was about 9.2 million barrels
a day, not much less than
that of market leaders Russia
and Saudi Arabia.
Last year the Saudis decided not to rein in production or prop up prices.
In mid-2014, oil
was trading at $100 (U.S.) a barrel
or higher. By the start of this
year, it had fallen to $30 (U.S.). Saudi
Arabia is running a 10-per-cent
budget deficit, its economy is
close to recession and, for the
first time, it is selling bonds on
the international market to
shore up its finances.
Its effort to shatter the U.S.
shale-oil industry failed badly
and, for that, it must overhaul
its economy in a hurry if it is to
avoid a downward financial spiral
and perhaps social unrest.
Only a few years ago, it was
impossible to imagine that the
cowboys running the American
shale-oil drillers would bring the
mighty Saudis to their knees.
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