The Globe and Mail attempts to identify Canadian stocks with better-than-industry value and growth
characteristics in its Thursday, Aug. 14, edition. The Globe's Craig McGee writes in the Number Cruncher column that he looked for stocks with the best
combination of the following
metrics: Industry-relative forward
price to earnings;
industry-relative price to
book;
industry-relative reinvestment
rate (operating earnings less
dividends as a percentage of
shareholders' equity);
industry-relative quarterly
earnings momentum (the rate of change of earnings
over the past four quarters
versus one quarter ago);
industry-relative revision of
the consensus EPS estimate
over the past three months;
and industry-relative earnings surprise
and price momentum.
Over the 12 months ended July
31, this strategy generated
a total return of 38.9 per cent
versus 26.5 per cent for the
S&P/TSX Composite Total
Return Index. Following
this strategy back from 1985 would have generated
an annualized total return of
15.9 per cent while the index
came in at 8.7 per cent. Mr. McGee's recommended picks are Parex Resources, Catamaran, Wi-LAN, Thompson Creek Metals, Advantage Oil & Gas and Goldcorp.
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