The Globe and Mail attempts to identify low-beta Canadian companies --
those with low sensitivity to market
moves -- that have surprised
analysts in the most recent
reported quarter in its Thursday edition. The Globe's Ian Tam writes in the Number Cruncher column that he ranked stocks on two factors -- earnings surprise and the five-year
price beta.
The earnings surprise of a company
measures the percentage
difference between the latest
quarter's operating earnings per
share and analysts' expectations
just prior to the company reporting.
Companies with positive surprises
tend to exhibit upward
trends in price after the report
date. Mr. Tam coupled this with the five-year
price beta which measures
the historical sensitivity of price
movement relative to the S&P/TSX composite index.
He says when the general
market trends upward or
downward, low beta stocks (beta
less than 1) move less than the
market, while high beta stocks
(beta greater than 1) move more
than the market.
Mr. Tam's picks
have at least five analysts covering
the company and a beta
less than 0.7. Mr. Tam recommends Intact Financial, Dollarama, Absolute Software, Great Canadian Gaming and Alimentation Couche-Tard.
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