The Globe and Mail reports in its Thursday edition that Canaccord Genuity Group analyst Martin Roberge is
cautious on the overall market. The Globe's Jennifer Dowty writes that Mr. Roberge says the S&P/TSX composite
index could be vulnerable
to a near-term pullback before
resuming its uptrend. One concern he has is the
large spread between the forward
price-to-earnings ratio for
the S&P/TSX compared with the
CBOE VIX index,
which is near peak levels
looking back to the start of 2014.
The gap between the two indexes
is too wide, he argues, which
suggests there is excessive investor
complacency in the stock
market.
Mr. Roberge says if we
saw a market pullback ranging
anywhere from 4 per cent to 7
per cent, this would bring the
spread back down to a more
reasonable level. As a result, he
has a "market weight" recommendation
on equities, an
"overweight" recommendation
on cash and an "underweight"
recommendation on bonds. The
firm's recommended asset allocation
is a 60-per-cent weighting
to equities (30 per cent Canadian
equities, 30 per cent U.S.
equities), 30 per cent in bonds
(10 per cent treasuries, 20 per
cent investment grade bonds)
and a 10-per-cent weighting in
cash.
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