The Globe and Mail reports in its Friday edition that the collapse of crude oil and
other commodities have marred
the Canadian earnings backdrop,
with total fourth quarter
earnings for companies in the S&P/TSX composite
index falling by 20 per cent
year-over-year, according to
information out of Bloomberg.
The Globe's Tim Shufelt writes that Canada's first quarter earnings
will extend the pain, as profits over all are expected to decline by
about 10 per cent from the prior
year's first quarter, according to a
National Bank Financial report. However, the global commodity complex
has rebounded definitively
from winter lows, leading to optimism
that higher resource prices
will soon filter through to the
bottom lines of energy and mining
companies.
While Canada's Big Six banks
have had to increase provisions
to cover bad loans to the oil
patch, the fallout is manageable
so far, and bank profits have
mostly proved resilient.
"I think the banks are going to
deliver and I think we're going to
have a less awful quarter from
resources," says Raymond James analyst Ryan Lewenza.
Still, any material rebound in Canadian
earnings is likely to be
concentrated in the second half
of the year.
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