The Globe and Mail reports in its Monday edition that Canada's Big Banks roll out
first quarter results this
week. The Globe's David Berman writes that expectations
are down, giving banks an opportunity
for clearing a low bar.
TD Securities analyst Mario Mendonca says: "Most years, having faith in the
banks' capacity to pull the levers
necessary to generate good earnings
growth is precisely the right
approach. ... This year [2015]
does not feel like one of those
years."
The stock market is reflecting
this sentiment. Bank stocks have
lagged the Canada's benchmark
index in a big way since the start
of the year, marking their worst
relative underperformance since
the financial crisis in 2008. The banks are still trailing the benchmark
S&P/TSX composite index
by nearly eight percentage points --
offering a rare setback for names
that gush cash and reward shareholders
with hefty dividends.
Earnings
growth is expected to slow.
CIBC analyst Robert Sedran estimates
that earnings in the first quarter
-- usually a strong one for the
banks -- will rise just 3 per cent
from the first quarter of last year.
That is down from 5.5-per-cent
earnings growth in the fourth
quarter, year-over-year.
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