The Globe and Mail reports in its Wednesday edition that gold miners have seen
grades fall and fall, raising questions about the possibility of peak
gold. A Bloomberg dispatch to The Globe says that in the late 1960s, mined
gold came in at more than 10 grams a tonne on average. Nowadays, Barrick Gold sees the 1.32-gram-per-tonne grade
in its reserves as something to boast about. One response to this progressively
toughening environment is to invest in technology to make
existing mines more productive. That is what Barrick plans with its
announcement Monday that it will invest $100-million (U.S.) in
a partnership with Cisco Systems
to digitally reinvent its business. Data analytics,
predictions of weather patterns, market prices and geology
could help decide which parts of a pit to dig at any one
time, the thinking goes. Barrick's executive chairman
John Thornton is not the first
boss to carry lessons from making cars -- another low-margin business -- into mining. Barrick should tread with
care. The Bernstein analytic group in
July examined a century of copper
prices and costs to argue that miners' technological improvements
are copied by rivals too quickly to provide any lasting advantage.
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