The Globe and Mail reports in its Saturday edition that gold's fresh upswing has
taken markets by surprise. The Globe's Ian McGugan writes that after
four years of declines, gold has
suddenly reversed direction. It is up 22 per cent this year.
Gold mining stocks have rocketed
even higher, with shares of giant
Barrick Gold more than
doubling this year.
Skeptics, including Goldman
Sachs and Citigroup, believe the
recent boom is fated to end badly.
They predict bullion's glow will
fade in coming months as interest
rates begin to rise, boosting
payoffs from bonds and bank
accounts. Higher rates may make
gold, which offers no yield, look
less attractive in comparison.
However, a growing number of
other observers are declaring a
new fondness for precious metals.
Anita Soni at Credit
Suisse boosted her forecast for
gold earlier this month, predicting
that bullion will rise from its
current level around $1,290 an ounce to $1,350 early next year.
"We believe the gold rally has
legs," agree the researchers at Pavilion
Global Markets in Montreal.
The folks at Capital Economics in
London are also bullish. Helping to push the gold price is the idea that supply may be on the decline.
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