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Rambler Metals and Mining PLC
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Rambler Metals' PEA estimates $251-million NPV for Ming

2012-03-15 10:00 ET - News Release

Mr. George Ogilvie reports

RAMBLER ANNOUNCES POSITIVE PEA FOR THE MING MINE'S LFZ

Rambler Metals and Mining PLC has completed a preliminary economic assessment to include the Lower Footwall zone (LFZ) mineralization in its mine plan at the Ming copper-gold mine, in Newfoundland, Canada. This assessment has evaluated the potential for an expansion program to first optimize then transition the Ming mine into a bulk-tonnage operation.

The results show positive economics, good internal rate of return and significant cash flow in addition to numerous areas of opportunities which can only further improve the findings in future studies.

Summary

  • The PEA is based on an optimization of the current high-grade operation at the Ming mine and Nugget Pond milling facility followed by a transition into a plus-20-year bulk-tonnage mine based on the anticipated ramp-up schedule:
    • Current production: 630 thousand tonnes per day (year one);
    • Years two and three: 1,000 mtpd (optimization of existing infrastructure);
    • Years four to end of mine: up to 3,500 mtpd (bulk-tonnage operation);
    • Also in year four and five the Nugget Pond hydrometallurgical facility will process all remaining gold ore from the 1806 zone within the Ming mine.
  • Numerous opportunities exist to improve the business case. It is these areas that future optimization and engineering studies will focus on to ensure that if or when the decision is made to proceed with the expansion, the project will benefit from the upside of the existing operation. These opportunities include:
    • A reduction of upfront capital requirements by advancing synergies with current operations;
    • Additional resource growth through continuing exploration;
    • Further utilization of the Nugget Pond facility with new feed sources from other regional copper and gold plays.
  • Project before tax net present value of $251-million with an internal rate of return of 18 per cent based on trending copper and gold prices (1);
  • Pretax cash flow from operations of $861-million undiscounted;
  • Initial capex requirement of $231-million estimated for the entire ramp-up of the project. Includes a significant expansion to the mining fleet, a newly built 3,500 mtpd copper concentrator, new production hoist, a backfill plant and fresh air intake/exhaust raises;
  • During the life of mine, after milling and recovery, approximately 980,000 tonnes of copper concentrate (616 million pounds of copper) will be produced with 193,000 ounces of gold and 851,000 ounces of silver;
  • Average annual cash operating cost of $1.94 per equivalent pound copper.

George Ogilvie, president and chief executive officer of Rambler, commented:

"We are pleased with the results of the PEA that has confirmed our belief that the Lower Footwall zone can provide a profitable mine life in excess of 20 years. The study now shows the expansion of the Ming mine over a three- to four-year period, however more importantly the work has also uncovered some of the projects opportunities and challenges. It is these areas that we must now focus on over the coming months in various optimization studies so that the external risk factors can be minimized allowing the Lower Footwall zone to remain profitable over varying degrees of price commodity conditions.

"We have steadily moved this mine towards production over the last five years and we believe that we have built a core asset that will ensure the company's growth regardless of whether we are in a booming market or working out of a recession. We intend to maximize the return on investment for our shareholders by first delivering on our existing mine plan through mining the known high-grade massive sulphides. The eventual expansion into the footwall zone has great potential and it is important to continue with the engineering work now so that when long-term market conditions are favourable, our company is ready for the transition."

The PEA will see the underground mining of all available material within the Ming mine, including the Lower Footwall zone, and represents the first time the entire deposit has been considered and evaluated as a potential mining target. The prior feasibility study released in Aug. 26, 2010, considered the mining of the massive sulphide zones only. With the current operation constructed on this basis any possible expansion into the Lower Footwall zone is preliminary in nature.

The PEA has been developed through three independent consultants; the Stantec office out of Sudbury and New Brunswick was responsible for the mining, environmental and project economics; Thibault and Associates Inc. out of New Brunswick was responsible for all processing aspects of the project; while James Weick, a professional geologist based out of Newfoundland, has reviewed the procedures used for the resource estimation and found them consistent with CIM best practices and in compliance with NI 43-101 guidelines. Much of the operational input gained from the continuing mining and milling at the Ming mine was made available for review and inclusion in the report.

An NI 43-101 technical report for the PEA will be filed on SEDAR before the end of April, 2012.

As part of the economic assessment a new geological resource and reserve has been estimated for the project. The attached tables outline the results of this updated estimate which will also be detailed in the technical report filed with SEDAR at April-end. This PEA includes some inferred mineralization, approximately 7 per cent of the reserve estimate, which is considered speculative geologically and there is no certainty that the preliminary economic assessment for these resources will be realized and eventually moved into any reserve category.

  RESOURCE ESTIMATE FOR ALL ZONES WITHIN THE MING COPPER-GOLD MINE

Resource                                                      
classification      Cut-off Quantity              Grades             

                                        Copper   Gold   Silver   Zinc
                              (000s t)       %    g/t      g/t      %
Measured                                                             
MMS (copper)     1.00 % Cu      1,016     2.46   1.99     8.88   0.56
                  1.25 g/t                                           
MMS (gold)              Au        267     0.56   4.31    32.15   1.31
Total massive sulphides         1,283     2.07   2.47    13.72   0.71
Total stringer   1.00 % Cu          -        -      -        -      -
Combined total                  1,283     2.07   2.47    13.72   0.71

Indicated                                                            

MMS (copper)     1.00 % Cu      1,088     1.99   2.00     8.74   0.48
                  1.25 g/t                                           
MMS (gold)              Au         83     0.74   2.83    13.86   0.70
Total massive sulphides         1,171     1.90   2.06     9.14   0.50
Total stringer   1.00 % Cu     18,306     1.43   0.09     1.35   0.01
Combined total                 19,477     1.46   0.21     1.77   0.04

Combined measured and indicated                                      
MMS (copper)     1.00 % Cu      2,105     2.22   2.00     8.29   0.49
                  1.25 g/t                                           
MMS (gold)              Au        349     0.60   3.96    27.82   1.16
Total massive sulphides         2,454     1.99   2.28    11.07   0.59
Total stringer   1.00 % Cu     18,306     1.43   0.09     1.35   0.01
Combined total                 20,760     1.49   0.35     2.51   0.08

Inferred                                                             
MMS (copper)     1.00 % Cu      1,711     2.01   1.81     8.87   0.66
                  1.25 g/t                                           
MMS (gold)              Au        136     0.73   1.97     8.29   0.60
Total massive sulphides         1,847     1.91   1.83     8.82   0.66
Total stringer   1.00 % Cu         17     1.19   0.09     1.00   0.01
Combined total                  1,863     1.91   1.81     8.74   0.65

RESOURCE ESTIMATE FOR ALL ZONES WITHIN THE MING COPPER-GOLD MINE

Resource                                                  
classification                 Contained metal             

                     Copper      Gold      Silver     Zinc
                     tonnes        oz          oz   tonnes
Measured                                                  

MMS (copper)         25,029    65,155     290,192    5,642
MMS (gold)            1,494    36,919     275,644    3,489
Total massive 
sulphides            26,524   102,074     565,836    9,131
Total stringer            -         -           -        -
Combined total    26,524   102,074     565,836    9,131

Indicated                                                 

MMS (copper)         21,656    70,151     270,713    4,672
MMS (gold)              616     7,545      36,881      580
Total massive                                         
sulphides            22,271    77,695     307,594    5,252
Total stringer      261,258    52,015     794,102    2,603
Combined total      283,530   129,710   1,101,697    7,854

Combined measured                                         
and indicated                                            

MMS (copper)         46,685   135,306     560,904   10,314
MMS (gold)            2,110    44,464     312,526    4,068
Total massive                                         
sulphides            48,795   179,770     873,430   14,383
Total stringer      261,258    52,015     794,102    2,603
Combined total      310,053   231,784   1,667,533   16,985

Inferred                                                  
MMS (copper)         34,362    99,832     409,823    9,499
MMS (gold)              993     8,589      36,138      814
Total massive                                         
sulphides            35,355   108,421     445,961   10,313
Total stringer          196        50         531        2
Combined total       35,552   108,471     446,491   10,314

(i) Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and have   
    not demonstrated economic viability. All figures are     
    rounded to reflect the accuracy of the estimate. Cut-off 
    grades of 1.0 per cent copper for the massive sulphides, 
    1.25 grams per tonne gold for the 1806 zone, 1.00 per    
    cent copper for the stringer sulphides have been used in 
    the estimate. Cut-offs are based on an NSR model and long-
    term metal prices of $3.45 (U.S.) per pound copper and 
    $1,200 (U.S.) per ounce gold and $21.96 (U.S.) per ounce 
    silver. Zinc does not contribute to the revenues.                                            
                                                                       

     MINABLE RESERVE ESTIMATE FOR THE MING COPPER-GOLD MINE   
                                                                       
Classification      Quantity                 Grades               
                                  Copper    Gold    Silver    Zinc
                      (000s t)         %     g/t       g/t       %

Proven reserve          17,206      1.33    0.22      1.96    0.06
Probable reserve         2,899      1.34    0.67      3.44    0.16
Combined total          20,105      1.33    0.28      2.17    0.07
Estimated minable                                                 
resource (after         
dilution/recovery)                                                
(i)                      1,553      1.40    1.43      7.65    0.59

   MINABLE RESERVE ESTIMATE FOR THE MING COPPER-GOLD MINE
                                                                     
Classification                   Contained metal               

                       Copper       Gold       Silver      Zinc
                       tonnes         oz           oz    tonnes

Proven reserve        229,449    122,364    1,083,343     9,967
Probable reserve       38,752     62,711      320,778     4,746
Combined total        268,201    185,075    1,404,121    14,713
Estimated minable                                              
resource (after       
dilution/recovery)                                             
(i)                    21,672     71,514      381,884     9,213

(i) A portion of the mine plan utilizes inferred mineralization
    which cannot be characterized into any reserve classification.
    The 1.6 million tonnes of minable inferred mineralization, 
    which represents 7 per cent of the total reserve estimate, is 
    classified as an estimated minable resource and cannot be 
    carried into an NI 43-101 technical report. 

    This PEA does not include any of the exploration potential at 
    the Ming mine and has only used the drill-defined resources 
    and reserves.                     

Highlights and assumptions of the PEA

  • As with all mining and exploration projects this expansion carries with it some risk but significant upside potential under the right conditions. The attached table summarizes the sensitivities associated with head grade, commodity pricing, currency rate, project opex and capex.


Variable          -15%   Base NPV   15%     Range

Grade to mill    $53.21  $251.49  $449.78  $396.57
Metal price      $37.38  $251.49  $465.61  $428.23
Currency         $85.16  $251.49  $417.85  $332.70
OPEX            $133.93  $251.49  $369.06  $235.14
CAPEX           $209.56  $251.49  $293.42   $83.86

Note: Discounted NPV before tax (millions of dollars)                       

  • Basic assumptions used for the compilation of this economic assessment:
    • Average copper price of $3.53 per pound, gold price of $1,320 per ounce and silver of $24.16 per ounce (2);
    • United States to Canada exchange rate of 1:0.97;
    • Project discount rate of 5 per cent;
    • Mill recoveries for year one are based on current operations at Nugget Pond; then expansion and optimizing of the Nugget Pond copper and gold circuits during years two and three; finally for years four to 20 a new copper concentrating facility constructed at the Ming mine site, optimized for the lower footwall material with an overall recovery of 97 per cent.

Opportunities

  • The project capital is $231-million excluding contingency and sustaining capital which envisions a significant expansion to the mining fleet, a newly built 3,500 mtpd copper concentrator, new production hoist, a backfill plant and fresh air intake/exhaust raises; all required in the first three years of the project. Besides focusing on ways to reduce these expenditures, with an operating mine and mill already in place, Rambler possess the ability to finance some of the expansion through its current operations over a three- to five-year period. This of course would mean that new resources and reserves would be required to replace those mined during that period.
  • The construction of a backfill plant will allow some of the historical pillars left over from mining operations in 1982 to be mined. This mineralization has been verified and included in two separate resource categories. The first in developed but unmined areas with an indicated resource of 125,000 tonnes grading 2.43 per cent copper and 1.99 grams per tonne gold; the second under an inferred category of 274,000 tonnes grading 3.94 per cent copper and 2.00 g/t gold. Further engineering work may allow these resources to be converted and included in the reserve statement.
  • The Nugget Pond milling complex (500 mtpd gold hydromet and 1,000 mtpd copper concentrator) is not being utilized beyond year five of the project after the remaining resources from the 1806 gold zone have been processed. With any expansion of Rambler's gold resources or participation in another copper or gold play near to the Nugget Pond property, this facility could take advantage of any deposit outside the Ming mine area and operate independently.
  • The Ming mine orebodies remain open in all directions and have been proven to return significant copper and gold intersections with continuing diamond drill delineation and exploration programs. By expanding on these programs the company is confident that new resources and reserves maybe added.

The PEA envisions that massive sulphide ore will be trucked from the mine to the Nugget Pond copper concentrator, 40 kilometres away, over the first three years whereupon the 1806 zone (gold zone) will be treated at the facility from years four through five. Beyond year five additional 1806 zone material could be supplied if the company's exploration program is successful or from an external satellite deposit. In the interim a new 3,500 mtpd mill would be constructed next to the existing Ming mine shaft to be available from year four to end of mine. This concept allows the company to realize revenue streams from both copper and gold simultaneously.

There will be production increases from the existing 630 mtpd, to 1,000 mtpd (years two and three) and 3,500 mtpd from year four to year 20. Once in steady state production approximately 90 per cent of the planned tonnage will come from a long-hole bulk mining method which can reduce the operating unit costs from current levels of $115 per tonne to $60 per tonne. Hydraulic backfill augmented with waste rock from underground development will be the primary filling mechanism with access to each of the zones made possible through extensions of the existing ramps and raises. Due to the significant increase in production a supplemental ventilation and power system will have to be installed.

The capital requirement for the mine over the first six years is estimated to be $172-million; mill $45-million over the first three years and tailings $14-million over the life of mine giving a total requirement of $231-million excluding contingency and sustaining capital. Production, mine development and construction activities have been identified for the entire 20 years of operation and have been linked through schedules based on current performance parameters.

(1) Unless otherwise noted all figures are quoted in U.S. dollars.

(2): Commodity pricing for years one and two are reflective of Macquarie's published forecast report, November, 2011. Long-term pricing beyond year five is trending to $3.45 per pound copper, $1,200 per ounce gold and $21.96 per ounce silver. For the life of mine the average copper price is $3.53 per pound, gold price is $1,320 per ounce and silver price is $24.16 per ounce.

Larry Pilgrim, PGeo, is the qualified person responsible for the technical content of this release and has reviewed and approved it accordingly. Mr. Pilgrim is an independent consultant contracted by Rambler Metals and Mining.

All tonnes reported are dry metric tonnes unless otherwise indicated.

The NI 43-101 technical report has been complied by a number of independent, third party, consultants including:

  • George Darling, PEng, Stantec: reserve estimate, mining methodology and project economics;
  • James Weick, PGeo: resource estimate and regional geology;
  • Dean Thibault, PEng, Thibault and Associates Inc.: metallurgical processing;
  • Peter Pheeney, PEng, Stantec: environmental.

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