The Globe and Mail reports in its Thursday, May 16, edition that the argument against extremely low
interest rates tends to be
reduced to concerns about inflation
and asset-price bubbles, but
there are other reasons to worry.
The Globe's Kevin Carmichael writes that C.D. Howe Institute economist Paul Masson
says: "The cumulative effect of artificially
low interest rates will
show up in pervasive distortions
of economic decisions. ... The Bank of Canada
should start now to reverse some
of the monetary stimulus and
begin raising interest rates."
Dr. Masson's call for higher
rates is a challenge to the debate
over Canada's monetary policy.
Like the central bank, Dr. Masson
worries that too many households
will be unable to keep up
with their debt when borrowing
costs inevitably rise. Dr. Masson
also sees the potential for trouble
in the insurance industry. These
companies offset their liabilities
with investment income, traditionally
done by purchasing
government bonds. Because
yields are so low, profit margins
are shrinking -- creating an incentive
to purchase riskier assets.
The rush to
dividend-paying stocks could be hurting
small companies, which typically
reinvest their earnings.
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